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No need to overthink this one. Just lay it.
The Phillies are 18-3 in their last 21 games. They've won 11 consecutive home games after burying the Blue Jays, 10-1, on Tuesday. Toronto is 1-5 in its last six games and four games below .500 on the season.
Philadelphia has the most wins in the majors with 26. The Phillies rank in the top-four in runs, batting average and homers. The Blue Jays are giving up an average of 6.8 runs during their last seven games.
The Phillies just destroyed Jose Berrios scoring eight runs off him in 3 2/3 innings. Berrios entered Tuesday's game leading the majors with a 1.44 ERA. Now the Phillies drop down in class to face Chris Bassitt, who is 2-5 with a 5.45 ERA. Bassitt is 0-3 with a 7.71 ERA during his past three starts.
Toronto, meanwhile, has to tangle against Aaron Nola, one of the better pitchers in baseball. Nola is 4-1 with a 3.32 ERA. Nola is 2-0 with a 3.15 ERA in his last three starts.
Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 21 of 23 winning seasons.